Hamas e il dopo-Sinwar, come funziona la successione e chi sarà l’erede

“Eliminato” Yahya Sinwar si apre la corsa alla successione ai vertici di Hamas. Secondo la tv saudita Al Sharq è attesa a Doha, in Qatar, una riunione della leadership del gruppo all’estero per scegliere il successore di Sinwar, ma Hamas anche potrebbe optare per un “consiglio direttivo”, ovvero una guida collegiale. A confermare la morte di Sinwar è stato Khalil al-Hayya, leader di Hamas a Gaza ma che vive in Qatar.

Chi sono i candidati

Il suo nome circola per la ‘promozione’ così come quelli di Mohammad Sinwar, fratello di Yahya Sinwar, e di Khaled Meshal. Di seguito tutti i possibili ‘eredi’ di Sinwar:

KHALIL AL-HAYYA: nato a Gaza nel 1960, è il leader del gruppo a Gaza, ma vive in Qatar. Ad agosto è stato scelto come numero due dell’ufficio politico di Hamas. I media israeliani ricordano come mantenga stretti legami con l’Iran e come abbia lasciato la Striscia di Gaza prima dell’attacco del 7 ottobre 2023 di Hamas in Israele. Ha avuto un ruolo di primo piano nei mesi di negoziati, tuttora in stallo, per un cessate il fuoco e un accordo per la liberazione degli ostaggi trattenuti da oltre un anno nell’enclave palestinese.

KHALED MESHAL: è considerato una delle figure più potenti all’interno del Politburo di Hamas. Nato in Cisgiordania nel 1956, è il responsabile di Hamas all’estero e ne ha guidato per 21 anni l’ufficio politico (1996-2017) di cui ancora oggi fa parte. Ha vissuto in Kuwait, per poi trasferirsi in Giordania, dove nel 1997 è sopravvissuto a un tentativo di avvelenamento. ‘Fuggito’ in Qatar, ha poi vissuto in Siria dal 2000 al 2012, prima di tornare in Qatar, dove vive ancora oggi. Nell’ultimo anno è stato coinvolto nei negoziati indiretti tra Israele e Hamas. Fonti israeliane sottolineano la divergenza di opinioni tra Meshal e Sinwar, soprattutto in merito ai rapporti con l’Iran. Secondo notizie mai confermate diffuse ieri sera dalla libanese Lbci, che citava fonti non meglio precisate, potrebbe aver già assunto la guida ‘ad interim’ del movimento, anche per quanto riguarda i contatti con le parti coinvolte nei negoziati.

MOHAMMAD SINWAR: è il fratello minore di Yahya Sinwar. Nato a Khan Yunis, oggi 49enne, è considerato un veterano del braccio armato del gruppo. Apparso raramente in pubblico, secondo la stampa israeliana, sarebbe il ‘candidato’ con meno possibilità di raccogliere l’eredità di Yahya Sinwar. Secondo Channel 13, Israele ha tentato per cinque volte di uccidere Mohammad Sinwar.

MOUSA ABU MARZOUK: nato nel 1951 a Rafah, ha contribuito alla fondazione di Hamas nel 1987. E’ uno degli esponenti dell’ala politica del movimento, siede nell’ufficio politico.

MUHAMMAD ISMAIL DARWISH: è il capo del Consiglio della Shura di Hamas dall’ottobre dello scorso anno. Il suo nome era circolato ad agosto, dopo l’uccisione di Ismail Haniyeh. Secondo la tv saudita Al Sharq, sarebbe sotto la sua presidenza un eventuale “consiglio direttivo” per il dopo-Sinwar.

HUSAM BADRAN: nato a Nablus nel 1996, vive a Doha ed è nel Politburo di Hamas. In passato era uno dei leader di spicco del braccio armato di Hamas in Cisgiordania.

MOHAMMED NASR: è nell’ufficio politico di Hamas e secondo media sauditi potrebbe aspirare alla ‘promozione’.

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